Welcome MLBBro.com fam, as we wave goodbye to the summer and inch closer to the chase for the pennant!
The #BrosBettingBaseball (@bbruh916/@abookay3), or the self-proclaimed MLB wagering kings as we like to call ourselves, got off to a series split (2 wins – 2 losses) in the month of September. Fear not, as the man with the stats PropaganDrew hit the spreadsheets, built his own sports model with his bare, callused hands, and we’re confident today’s three picks will have you seeing more Benjamins than the inside of an ATM machine!
1. First, let’s get out of this west coast heat wave and pull up to the field of Wrigley, as the San Francisco Giants (-170) visit the Chicago Cubs (+143) starting at 4:05pm Eastern. The Giants are well on their way out of playoff contention (somewhere the Cubs have been for the last two months), but their newest ace Carlos Rodon (2.92 ERA, 12 wins – 7 losses) will try to keep their miniscule postseason hopes alive against the Cubbies left-handed veteran Drew Smyly (3.84 ERA, 5 wins, 8 losses). Rodon has pitched his heart out, fanning 201 batters over 157.1 innings even as his run support has been terrible. The Cubs offense has been mediocre all year, sitting in the bottom half ranks in ALL offensive categories. Put the two together and we’re loving the Giants Moneyline to get that first win of the day.
2. In middle relief, we’re calling up the Pittsburgh Pirates (+175) and the St. Louis Cardinals (-210), as they do battle in Western Pennsylvania starting at 6:35pm Eastern. Both teams are sending out pitchers who have basically split the season’s wins, as the Card’s Miles Mikolas (3.32ERA, 11 wins – 10 losses) and the Pirate’s Roansy Contreras (3.41 ERA, 4 wins – 4 losses) are both middle of the league in ERA and are hovering around .500 win percentages. That’s when you let the wood do the talking, and the Cardinals are screaming on offense to the tune of top 10 MLB ranks in batting average, runs, hits, on base %, slugging %, and even home runs. The Pirates, meanwhile, are in the bottom 5 in those same categories, with the lone exception of sitting at 19th in home runs. That makes the #BrosBestBet the Cardinals Moneyline, as the red birds continue their dominance in the NL Central on their way to the postseason.
3. The closer for this Friday is a trip back down to the dirty south, as the LA Angels (+192) look to upset the Houston Astros (-235) in H-Town. The Astros are another division leader, and they’re hoping to get righty Lance McCullers (2.08 ERA, 2 wins – 1 loss) back into championship shape versus the Angel’s 6th year man Michael Lorenzen (4.94 ERA, 6 wins – 6 losses). While the Angels have looked a bit more lively the last few weeks, even stealing a win from the Astros back on September 3rd, the Astro’s utter dominance of the division doesn’t bode well for Shohei, Trout, and company.
MLB Bro Yordan Alvarez has continued doing work in the batter’s box, blasting 31 homers so far this season. Right behind him, Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker have each sent 24 balls into Houston’s skies. Look for the Angels to fall back down to earth, as we have the Houston Astros Runline -1.5 to end our night!
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