Autumn is here! The best baseball has yet to be played, and there are still plenty of regular season tickets to cash. Let’s jump right into it with the #BrosBettingBaseball (@bbruh916 / @abookay3) so you can BALL IN THE FALL!
1. No better way to get into the pumpkin season than the battle of the orange men. No, we’re not talking Syracuse baseball, we’re talking about the Houston Astros (-160) making that trip to the east coast to visit the Baltimore Orioles (+135). With Houston clinching the AL West, there is very little for the Astros to play for heading into the playoffs. Baltimore, on the other hand, are in the heat of a tightly contested AL Wildcard race and are currently chasing the likes of the Mariners, Rays, and current wildcard leading Blue Jays for a spot in the playoffs. Houston’s starting pitcher Jose Urquidy (3.96 ERA, 13 wins – 7 losses) and Baltimore’s rookie starter Dean Kremer (3.33 ERA , 7 wins – 5 losses) are nearly identical in ERAs and WHIP. Offensively, both teams are liable to go off with MLB Bros Yordan Alvarez (37 HRs) looking great for the Astros and Anthony Santander (27 HRs) looking to hit 30 homers for the Orioles. The man analyzing the trends, PropaganDrew, dug in deep on how well teams who have clinched playoff spots fare after punching their ticket to the postseason, and that makes our pick the home dog Baltimore Orioles Moneyline.
2. Sticking with the Orioles versus the Astros, I took a look at the over/under on total runs and discovered the pitchers’ ERAs can be a bit deceiving. In his last two games against the bottom of the division Los Angeles Angels and Oakland A’s, Urquidy has allowed 6 earned runs in his own ballpark to both of the struggling division rivals. Baltimore’s Kremer has been a bit better, allowing 3 runs on the road to the struggling Washington Nationals and followed that up by allowing 2 earned runs to the aforementioned Toronto Blue Jays. Considering the firepower both teams are packing on offense, we’re taking the Orioles/Astros Over 7.5 total runs before we leave Baltimore.
3. What’s Fall baseball without discussing the greatest rivalry in sports? The Boston Red Sox (+185) make a trip to the Bronx to face the New York Yankees (-225) and pray they don’t become the team our MLB Bro Aaron Judge breaks the AL home run record against. Boston’s lefty Rich Hill (4.7 ERA, 7 wins – 7 losses) may be feeling the pressure to avoid being on the wrong side of the record books, while Yankee’s righty Gerrit Cole (3.41 ERA, 12 wins – 7 losses) is looking to bounce back from a couple of 4 earned run games. All that considered, the Yankees have been on a tear, and we don’t see that changing anytime soon. The first #BrosBestBet of the fall is the Yankees Moneyline, and if you’re feeling extra risky go ahead and punch that prop for Judge reaching 62 homers in this game as well! Later MLB Bro fam!
Can you feel that MLBBro.com family? It feels like PLAYOFF BASEBALL is rounding 3rd base and coming in HOT as we enter September on our way to Fall baseball! You know the #BrosBettingBaseball (@bbruh916 / @abookay3) are always feeling good as we went 2 for 3 every week in the month of August, and we’re looking to hit that trifecta every week of September for all our loyal readers. So let’s ride this heat wave all the way to the top and beat the bookie until your money is in knots! Here are three winners that can’t stop, won’t stop!
1. First stop is that sticky icky weather of the Midwest, as the Cleveland Guardians (+115) play host to the Seattle Mariners (-115). In a battle of playoff hopefuls, the wildcard bound Mariners are marching out Luis Castillo (2.85 ERA, 5 wins – 5 losses) to do battle with the division leading Guardians and right-hander Zach Plesac (4.39 ERA, 3 wins – 11 losses). With neither pitcher looking like a dominant ace, our man with the stats PropanganDrew dug deep into his pitching trends to find some gems. True, Castillo is still finding his footing in the Mariners rotation, but Plesac has just 1 win in his last 5 appearances and has struggled all year at home in The Land. Granted, that last win was at Seattle, but Castillo fanned 10 batters during their last heads-up matchup. We’re leaning hard on the Seattle Mariners Moneyline to kick off our Friday of winning.
2. We’re not leaving the Lakelands just yet, as the Wild Card race is raging between the visiting Minnesota Twins (-120) and Chicago White Sox (+100). Although both teams are looking up at the aforementioned division-leading Guardians, they’re within reach of the Mariners for first round playoff baseball. The Twins are hoping Sonny Gray (3.04 ERA, 7 wins – 4 losses) can push them past the White Sox and young rookie Davis Martin (4.62 ERA, 2 wins – 4 losses). Although Martin has allowed less than 5 hits in his last 3 starts, Gray has always loved travel ball. It’s almost always Sonny on the road for the Twins, as he’s gone 4-2 on the year when he’s away from Minnesota (not counting no-decisions). And while the White Sox are an impressive 3rd in batting average and 2nd in hits, they’re still missing MLB Bro Tim Anderson and facing a Twins offense that is currently top 10 in on base %, slugging %, and home runs! Take the Minnesota Twins on the Moneyline, as they win the division battle by a slim margin.
3. Lastly, we’re heading to the Bay Area to close up our Friday with the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) as road dogs against the roller coaster ride of a team in the San Francisco Giants (-115). A roller coaster ride is being generous, as the Giants have played their way out of any playoff contention and are miles behind the division leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Phillies, on the other hand, are still in the heat of a wildcard battle and are sitting 3rd in the competitive NL East. The Giants pitcher Alex Cobb (3.81 ERA, 4 wins – 6 losses) and Phillies Kyle Gibson (4.08 ERA, 9 wins – 5 losses) have both been giving up a ton of runs despite both sharing relatively solid WHIP ratings at 1.2 and 1.3, respectively. In this special 2 for 1 pick, we’re leaning the Phillies Moneyline and the Over 7.5 combined runs for the Giants/Phillies. No best bet this week but take our four picks and run that bookie to the ground!